Concerns grow over potential internal unrest in Lebanon amid rising tensions: The details

Report by Petra Abou Haidar, English adaptation by Mariella Succar

An Israeli journalist has suggested that internal conflict in Lebanon would serve Israel’s interests, arguing that such a scenario would distract Lebanese factions and force the state to confront Hezbollah.

The remarks come as tensions rise in Lebanon, with increasing mobilization in the streets, including calls for protests and counter-protests that observers warn could deepen divisions and push the country toward instability reminiscent of its 15-year civil war.

Analysts and political voices caution that internal divisions weaken national resilience, creating conditions that external actors could exploit. Recent developments, including the displacement of hundreds of thousands from predominantly Shiite areas into other parts of the country such as Beirut, Mount Lebanon, and the north, have heightened sensitivities in areas with complex sectarian balances.

In Beirut, which has a diverse population but a significant Sunni presence, residents and institutions have opened homes, schools, and facilities to displaced people. However, the capital has also witnessed protests targeting the prime minister, particularly over the issue of Lebanon’s potential engagement in direct negotiations with Israel. These developments have raised concerns about renewed sectarian tensions.

Political figures have warned that any escalation could spiral unpredictably. Former Prime Minister Najib Mikati stressed that while freedom of expression is a fundamental right, attacks on constitutional institutions — particularly the premiership — and the use of inflammatory rhetoric are unacceptable.

On the other side, Ali Al-Khatib, deputy head of the Higher Islamic Shiite Council, has held contacts emphasizing the need to preserve civil peace, including discussions with leadership figures from Hezbollah and the Amal Movement.

Despite initial denials of involvement in mobilizing supporters, the two groups later issued a joint statement calling on their followers to refrain from protests and avoid being drawn into division.

Observers warn that weakening internal cohesion could open the door to external interference, including from extremist groups, armed organizations, intelligence agencies, and cross-border actors that thrive in instability.

Calls are increasing for political and community leaders across all sides to address their supporters directly and urge restraint, emphasizing the need to avoid escalation, inflammatory rhetoric, and actions that could inadvertently serve external interests.

Many warn that even a minor incident could trigger broader unrest, recalling the heavy consequences of Lebanon’s civil war, whose effects continue to shape the country today.